NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f17320803972072a6f6256653f6d477c0a766e9329c28f0b40ef3b961efe19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Hurricanes, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe131…3466backed Capitals | 42c | 8,278$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 6,690$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.07 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…b3b8backed Capitals | 53c | 5,800$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 45c | 5,140$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.58 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Capitals | 77c | 5,010$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.3 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Capitals | 41c | 4,600$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hurricanes | 65c | 3,779$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.39 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Hurricanes | 33c | 3,768$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 52c | 3,500$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 46c | 3,332$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Hurricanes | 59c | 3,185$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.02 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes | 47c | 3,007$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,593$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.38 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Capitals | 41c | 2,484$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.34 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hurricanes | 59c | 2,132$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.88 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Hurricanes | 59c | 2,081$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.62 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes | 56c | 2,000$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.67 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,878$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.4 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes | 56c | 1,834$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.06 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Hurricanes | 58c | 1,463$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.74 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Capitals | 41c | 1,305$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.91 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Capitals | 41c | 1,217$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 55c | 1,206$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.61 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 47c | 1,200$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Capitals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.9 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Hurricanes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 960.35$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes | 11c | 949.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hurricanes | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…4f84backed Capitals | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c98…74d5backed Hurricanes | 60c | 838.33$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 55c | 785.56$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Capitals | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Hurricanes | 61c | 680.93$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.37 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Hurricanes | 31c | 666$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 69c | 646$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 614.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.06 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Capitals | 42c | 607.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Hurricanes | 54c | 562.77$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Hurricanes | 60c | 520$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Capitals | 42c | 477.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Capitals | 42c | 473.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Capitals | 44c | 418.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Capitals | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Capitals | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Capitals | 43c | 299.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 296.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 221.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Capitals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hurricanes | 19c | 204.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Hurricanes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hurricanes | 59c | 188$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Capitals | 51c | 179.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 33c | 149.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes | 34c | 139.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1637…2fa1backed Capitals | 41c | 128.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 43c | 125.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Capitals | 33c | 121.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked Capitals | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Capitals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…fb77backed Hurricanes | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…d7ebbacked Capitals | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5e74backed Capitals | 47c | 113.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Capitals | 36c | 112.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Hurricanes | 73c | 111.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…ff72backed Capitals | 47c | 111.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…3894backed Capitals | 48c | 108$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…ced4backed Hurricanes | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…799abacked Hurricanes | 54c | 100.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…a69ebacked Capitals | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hurricanes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hurricanes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Capitals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5826…42b9backed Hurricanes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…f49ebacked Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…0b99backed Hurricanes | 54c | 99.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…b1dbbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 98.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…e8f5backed Hurricanes | 54c | 94.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 45c | 93.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…f3e1backed Hurricanes | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…7d39backed Capitals | 48c | 86.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…218dbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 86.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…3c47backed Capitals | 47c | 86.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…410ebacked Hurricanes | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…932ebacked Capitals | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Capitals | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61eb…0598backed Hurricanes | 54c | 84.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…f270backed Hurricanes | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.