TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Canadiens, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb953…0ce9backed Canadiens41c34,325$14,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,073.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f96…1da6backed Senators59c30,675$18,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,576.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf97…5923backed Canadiens41c25,890$10,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,614.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…45edbacked Senators59c24,660$14,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,110.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010f…5380backed Senators59c24,114$14,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,914.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…f95bbacked Canadiens41c18,211$7,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,466.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators55c8,615$4,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.0413845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens43c7,405$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb400…1ed9backed Canadiens45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens44c5,164$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.954847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens39c4,579$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.9336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Canadiens45c4,408$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Senators56c4,302$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.817448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Senators56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9916645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ec…34b6backed Canadiens41c3,733$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens30c3,700$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.1970249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators60c3,631$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.841,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3f…9fbbbacked Canadiens41c3,617$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bbb…61fcbacked Senators59c2,631$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Senators55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1254650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Senators79c2,435$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf998…3156backed Senators59c2,371$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e4…744ebacked Senators59c2,348$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Senators55c2,255$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.7511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Canadiens45c2,202$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.9710546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Senators60c2,010$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8042245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens1c2,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Canadiens40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Senators56c1,957$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.257361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ec…ddd5backed Senators59c1,919$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f6…7d8bbacked Canadiens41c1,918$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators78c1,757$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.371,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens12c1,750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators59c1,745$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.711,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Senators61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3415261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed Canadiens44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Senators54c1,480$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.1792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Canadiens42c1,464$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8827958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd837…ba4abacked Canadiens44c1,307$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…df4cbacked Senators56c1,176$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.62560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Canadiens44c1,070$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.85534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Senators56c1,000$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.9185148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators57c1,000$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Senators56c942.31$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c46…3779backed Canadiens44c934$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Senators59c896.61$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Senators57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.196450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa642…309fbacked Canadiens40c877$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…1f49backed Senators60c877$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Canadiens44c816.98$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.472751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Senators56c810.71$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.713148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Senators58c649.96$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Senators55c603.42$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.544548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Canadiens44c549.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Senators55c545$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Senators59c544.93$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Senators61c494$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7426…9e9fbacked Canadiens45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Canadiens36c365.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Canadiens44c313.61$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Canadiens44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13242751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Senators59c276.64$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4224949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators55c264$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Canadiens40c259.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Canadiens17c253.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Senators59c252.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…3878backed Canadiens16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x100a…2c58backed Canadiens40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Senators61c229.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.511275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Canadiens44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Senators56c222.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.632055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens13c214.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Senators56c199.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Senators59c198$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1820861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens17c192.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Canadiens41c176.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Senators61c175$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.258932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59ee…cab8backed Senators62c162.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Canadiens44c162.7$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.596956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…7ff6backed Senators56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+71.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Canadiens39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Canadiens42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6097955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Senators61c140$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.621255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Canadiens40c136$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.42536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Canadiens43c135.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5260741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe202…3fc8backed Canadiens40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…3655backed Senators61c125$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a74…b2bdbacked Senators61c124$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.365100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+112.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x860b…f6e9backed Canadiens41c121.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Senators57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e2…4accbacked Senators61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3932…3886backed Canadiens39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Senators56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Canadiens45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6faa…5a5bbacked Canadiens45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…f6a4backed Canadiens39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5050…c258backed Canadiens44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.