TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…128ebacked Avalanche80c15,689$12,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.742458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks22c15,194$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.7836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche24c11,047$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,358.8717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Avalanche78c6,409$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.216450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks19c5,156$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.6492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Blackhawks80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks37c4,237$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.1444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche77c4,026$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.6949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks22c3,322$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Blackhawks78c3,225$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Blackhawks22c3,032$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.0413845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Blackhawks75c2,994$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Avalanche63c2,896$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.614751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Blackhawks64c2,886$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.9213348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche77c2,548$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.0430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche71c2,524$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4619848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche56c2,477$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.7227958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche60c2,224$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.41,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Blackhawks19c2,212$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2813756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Avalanche75c2,101$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.574330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed Avalanche78c2,003$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Blackhawks22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks22c1,945$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche19c1,655$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.541,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Avalanche79c1,500$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.965757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks46c1,337$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.271,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blackhawks19c1,215$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8179251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Blackhawks22c1,180$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.610627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Avalanche52c1,094$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2413754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9941340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75e…96ebbacked Blackhawks51c989.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Blackhawks6c918.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1310127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche31c846.41$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.223,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.655470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks22c702.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.941,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Blackhawks22c600.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2120649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche35c566.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0728842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Avalanche18c546.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Avalanche78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.824163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Blackhawks59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Avalanche40c467.83$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.429554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks22c427.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8421255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Avalanche78c350.35$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.799064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche80c349.73$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9637254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche77c334.04$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.141,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche63c324.15$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Avalanche23c263.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.664425%11 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Avalanche79c262.56$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.791478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Avalanche76c261.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.547071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Blackhawks75c243.45$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.457651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Avalanche69c242.06$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.075352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf1c…b61bbacked Blackhawks44c229.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257f…12fcbacked Avalanche65c204.04$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Blackhawks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89f…6a27backed Avalanche51c197.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Blackhawks78c181.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c84…bacabacked Blackhawks76c167.11$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Blackhawks24c159.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.222536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Blackhawks25c158.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blackhawks19c158$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blackhawks34c157.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Blackhawks74c155.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.984067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…6bf3backed Avalanche61c155$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5afb…57d0backed Avalanche58c155$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.11275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x441d…abb6backed Blackhawks42c155$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e9…9ae6backed Blackhawks39c155$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Avalanche65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.523462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Blackhawks21c149.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0128440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Blackhawks22c147.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Avalanche79c140.28$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.465954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Avalanche79c135.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.559957.6%57 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Avalanche77c135.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.061070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Avalanche62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Blackhawks23c128.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.488932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd156…13b1backed Avalanche79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Avalanche62c125.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5411354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5b…9164backed Avalanche77c116.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Avalanche77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.317363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche60c109.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdba…fbb8backed Avalanche77c109.09$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.096100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Avalanche75c108.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.645337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Avalanche19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2611157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Blackhawks25c100.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Avalanche78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2350857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106b…3438backed Avalanche37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Avalanche19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Blackhawks20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Blackhawks75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc91c…7f00backed Blackhawks24c95.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Avalanche78c89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5820861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b0…2b14backed Blackhawks23c86.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.