TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Spurs, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs21c10,338$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.891,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pistons78c8,025$6,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.7548046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Pistons78c7,875$6,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.757347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons77c6,698$5,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.4929957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs24c6,542$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.1472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Spurs3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Spurs1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.941,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs23c4,580$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.7837448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs0c4,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.374573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Spurs23c4,457$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.9736748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Spurs25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Spurs25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda0c…e090backed Spurs19c3,997$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons75c3,721$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.2585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed Spurs19c3,567$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons79c3,405$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.171,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Spurs22c3,198$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.4328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs24c3,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs19c2,979$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons77c2,910$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.4473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons65c2,386$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.191,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Spurs28c2,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x541b…088fbacked Spurs24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed Pistons79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Spurs19c1,877$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8429747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Spurs1c1,769$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs4c1,735$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons80c1,687$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons77c1,625$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs25c1,573$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Spurs20c1,555$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31110428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdd…d56bbacked Pistons78c1,419$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Spurs37c1,357$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0920553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Spurs1c1,336$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7123237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons79c1,324$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons76c1,312$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Pistons80c1,265$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.071752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…11cdbacked Spurs19c1,264$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs10c1,218$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.173,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pistons75c1,125$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2927840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons76c1,103$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…cacdbacked Spurs19c1,056$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2f…03b7backed Spurs23c1,025$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Spurs21c1,006$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2736423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8451037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Pistons79c999.93$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.997929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs4c972.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs14c946.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Spurs19c877.94$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Spurs25c865.81$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.967451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons76c859.98$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Pistons80c832.96$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5914161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Spurs26c777.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs3c755.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Spurs27c731.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…2b83backed Spurs19c683.44$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Spurs23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1387230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x358a…d45fbacked Pistons76c595$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pistons78c593.56$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1623554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons75c580$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…d677backed Spurs16c571.13$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Spurs17c556.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.175530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs5c550$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Spurs19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Pistons80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Spurs22c499.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9845743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Spurs20c495.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.169038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spurs21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…523fbacked Spurs18c448.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.661030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Spurs24c417.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7724855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Spurs19c414.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pistons76c408.56$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbced…dedcbacked Spurs23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3085…5ddabacked Spurs25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Pistons77c390$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.718354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Spurs16c351.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.115613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…c39fbacked Spurs23c339.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4dd3backed Spurs21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013647.8%65 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs9c329.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ddf…0192backed Pistons78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons77c312$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.761,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Spurs20c309.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.974843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs24c304.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…3dbfbacked Spurs21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…aba8backed Spurs20c280$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556955.1%38 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ed…ca2bbacked Pistons78c279.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…e22fbacked Spurs23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Spurs20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Pistons78c229.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5834169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs19c195.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95e…6096backed Spurs21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014845.9%68 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x526d…73f1backed Spurs20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513844.9%62 W · 76 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…0536backed Spurs21c168.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed30…066dbacked Spurs20c152.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.