TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kraken, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e66…0401backed Kings52c77,050$39,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,838.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken48c63,804$30,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,177.8244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Kings69c21,024$14,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,458.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken31c19,082$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,150.4736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Kraken32c11,906$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,095.866357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kraken48c10,284$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,347.6813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken68c9,993$6,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.121,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings28c7,800$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18413348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings68c2,964$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.3597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Kings53c2,642$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kraken31c2,159$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.7213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings67c2,117$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.311,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Kraken50c1,994$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.0517448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Kraken63c1,979$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.265660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Kraken77c1,899$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.55858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings68c1,884$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.227958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb400…1ed9backed Kings24c1,669$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings42c1,631$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.983,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Kraken32c1,565$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.716450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken31c1,515$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.481,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings70c1,423$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x303f…801ebacked Kings52c1,352$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Kraken64c1,316$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.584143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings69c1,304$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.7616645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Kings4c1,263$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6938744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Kings36c1,033$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8828842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings58c1,016$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.7192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings39c1,000$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39337254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Kings35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kraken56c1,000$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken31c907.08$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.0849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken31c891.51$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.9837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Kings5c839.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kings68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Kings69c736.98$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kings68c731$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Kings40c639.72$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.231040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Kings69c580.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Kraken32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Kings69c439.55$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.299064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Kings51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kraken30c380.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Kraken56c358.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.356866.2%45 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Kraken62c339.67$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.54067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken57c313.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Kraken32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.515246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Kings68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Kings68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings51c292.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Kings69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9600…7af4backed Kings70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Kings30c226.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7430155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken31c222$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Kings68c220.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kraken47c213.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5814012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Kraken30c205.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1220649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…9462backed Kraken31c190.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Kings53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf5…9896backed Kraken33c169.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Kings70c164.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5143…7afbbacked Kraken33c163.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa929…1baabacked Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d8…ddfcbacked Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac41…21b2backed Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…61febacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67c…f843backed Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc234…74b2backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2cd…fb96backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bc…53f2backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…7e2fbacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…fdb3backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe920…7289backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…0932backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafff…bba8backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe413…7760backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc386…0bf2backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb709…3b5cbacked Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+58.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bad…4f8dbacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb7…31e9backed Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…384ebacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d82…f177backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5000…b74abacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91d5…d0aabacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…4f35backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d7…37f8backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c5…57a3backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x352f…c76cbacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe73…265dbacked Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…1b99backed Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…4c54backed Kraken31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ca…32c6backed Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d5…8aedbacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb8…fa6cbacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e3…59fabacked Kings69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.