NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b268b15fcdb8cc63515a779855b9b3d9d686888d22ea58382fbd2a6874c5421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce4f…9d71backed Jazz | 14c | 130,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 9c | 28,474$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 14c | 14,150$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 4c | 12,602$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…6358backed Jazz | 14c | 10,110$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…35c4backed Jazz | 14c | 10,107$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…7bc6backed Jazz | 14c | 10,080$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…372ebacked Jazz | 14c | 10,062$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Jazz | 13c | 9,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Jazz | 10c | 7,931$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 14c | 5,119$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.68 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…b512backed Jazz | 14c | 4,302$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Jazz | 6c | 4,129$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Jazz | 9c | 3,013$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.73 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Jazz | 7c | 2,999$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 13c | 2,222$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.82 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Jazz | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 10c | 1,997$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 13c | 1,996$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Jazz | 14c | 1,945$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 37cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 1c | 1,900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 13c | 1,825$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.24 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Jazz | 4c | 1,721$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 7c | 1,420$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Jazz | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…f46bbacked Jazz | 17c | 1,144$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz | 13c | 829.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Jazz | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz | 9c | 780$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Jazz | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Jazz | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Jazz | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Jazz | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Jazz | 9c | 514.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Jazz | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz | 13c | 476.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 15c | 415.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Jazz | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 9c | 365.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Jazz | 8c | 325$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Jazz | 6c | 260.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Jazz | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Jazz | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…410ebacked Jazz | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz | 10c | 223.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Jazz | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…64d3backed Jazz | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Jazz | 10c | 197.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz | 14c | 195.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Jazz | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…9fe2backed Jazz | 14c | 169.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Jazz | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…c148backed Jazz | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0219…49efbacked Jazz | 10c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 9c | 127.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…f174backed Jazz | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…2c6bbacked Rockets | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…d2d2backed Jazz | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Jazz | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…40b9backed Jazz | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Jazz | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Jazz | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Jazz | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Jazz | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 14c | 99.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Jazz | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…6aecbacked Rockets | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Jazz | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…c5ffbacked Jazz | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.