TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Padres, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers39c3,469$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Padres42c3,323$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.4614648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Padres46c2,968$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.5569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Padres67c2,260$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers51c2,003$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.742,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Padres43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.973748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Brewers57c1,700$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d9…0293backed Brewers57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.95650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers56c1,302$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.462,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked Padres43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69643654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Padres75c1,105$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Padres68c1,045$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Brewers57c999.98$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres65c819$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Brewers29c574.3$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8519650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers6c536.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.832488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Brewers59c520.63$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Padres41c403.68$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.175,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20319849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Padres43c347.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2412549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brewers34c328.63$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.561,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Padres62c312.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7287…9787backed Brewers23c309.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.851216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Brewers31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers56c297.73$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7333349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Padres72c279.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.173666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers40c270.23$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.144,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Brewers42c255.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.71,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Brewers7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Padres43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ba2…c1a0backed Padres43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562119%4 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Brewers31c225.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0530928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers57c201$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.541,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Padres43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Brewers36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers23c179.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Padres78c176$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers49c163.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.721,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Padres44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0910552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Brewers29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.57451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Padres60c137.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7420343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebe…2461backed Padres43c133.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.093060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers57c129$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a9…6addbacked Brewers57c119$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3e…5a50backed Padres43c119$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers30c117.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5917136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Padres43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0323…2674backed Padres43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c1…80f9backed Brewers57c116$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf89e…a3ccbacked Padres43c114$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4966…f433backed Brewers57c114$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Padres44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6413254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…ef6abacked Padres43c113$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b3…3891backed Brewers57c113$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5db…f7f5backed Padres43c113$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605c…55bdbacked Brewers57c113$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ff…032abacked Padres43c112.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc923…f0adbacked Padres43c111.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb30…8fedbacked Brewers58c110.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.353050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf183…93e9backed Brewers58c107.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9946…f7b1backed Brewers57c107$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a35…33aebacked Padres43c107$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380a…7505backed Padres43c105.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers58c104$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Padres41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Padres44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5650447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc4…c6e9backed Brewers57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b8…7d1fbacked Padres43c99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Padres43c98.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Brewers21c98.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef0…eb5cbacked Padres43c98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…cf03backed Brewers57c98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Brewers58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa100…4e01backed Brewers58c93.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9959…0d51backed Brewers58c90.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e85…155ebacked Brewers58c89.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers58c88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.042,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…1df7backed Brewers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Brewers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6350…2e3abacked Brewers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Brewers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a7…ae15backed Padres43c82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa792…bcd4backed Brewers57c82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab1…8282backed Padres43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…84a1backed Brewers57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…7205backed Padres43c79.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf34…2d49backed Padres43c79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…bc89backed Brewers57c79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4715…8fedbacked Brewers57c78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e21…6171backed Padres43c78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221a…1cadbacked Padres43c74.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.393148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7966…4cc6backed Brewers57c69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.