TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings55c58,547$32,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,466.3336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Devils44c23,150$10,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,186837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils47c18,731$8,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,786.031,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Devils48c9,494$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.0713754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Devils48c8,720$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.7692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Devils46c7,670$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Devils44c5,682$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.5930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Red Wings56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76016645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Wings54c3,750$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Red Wings51c3,606$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.4910145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Devils44c3,584$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.882751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Devils47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64539752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Red Wings55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Devils46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Devils45c2,987$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.142040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b93…ee1cbacked Devils59c2,600$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0bf…6f28backed Red Wings41c2,600$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Red Wings53c2,584$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.613845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Devils46c1,850$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.624436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Devils45c1,847$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82215246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Devils47c1,827$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.721,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils43c1,761$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.31,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b4…af9abacked Devils48c1,742$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.131361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Devils45c1,676$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.0537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ec…df7bbacked Red Wings51c1,375$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Devils8c1,227$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4621620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Devils49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Red Wings57c980.69$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.750857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4422…79aebacked Red Wings51c978.02$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Devils44c875$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Devils47c869.21$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Red Wings52c853.25$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.564841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbdf1…e491backed Devils46c720$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed Devils49c609.78$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils48c600$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Devils47c593.93$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.846850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Devils25c558.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.78959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Red Wings57c535$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.051250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444e…ab89backed Devils49c534.95$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Devils29c522$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.157644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Red Wings51c518.21$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.928749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Devils52c507.49$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.894143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Devils24c503.79$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11929319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Devils42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings53c452$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils14c434.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.431,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Devils44c431.82$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a55…0b10backed Red Wings56c428.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Devils43c412.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5510627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Devils46c409.87$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5228…fb0dbacked Devils46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Devils49c398.12$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1929748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Devils4c361.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52da…c1f6backed Red Wings55c285.45$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings70c268.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.491,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings54c204.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2651044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Devils45c202.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Red Wings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…d0aabacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…e036backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xede0…5cfbbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9240…8e7ebacked Red Wings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9090…77bbbacked Red Wings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf5…f172backed Red Wings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982475%18 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc007…770ebacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962382.6%19 W · 4 L+7.6wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+77.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xeabf…655cbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab2…4af0backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea25…c429backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…78bbbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21cf…a38ebacked Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef2…95adbacked Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e24…ab78backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964139%16 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfcd…7ec6backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133d…0559backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1775…52efbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdff5…2c9dbacked Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebe0…d317backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b69…cff7backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39df…0f16backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8256…599bbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c23…362cbacked Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c0…8d13backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963129%9 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d16…514bbacked Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27bd…dba6backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2151…6a44backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc5…5880backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc22…a230backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb572…c062backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf62…e9fabacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc0…5ca6backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2595…88bcbacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6980…e417backed Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7d…d047backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…2317backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e46…6cb1backed Devils48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86a2…a2dabacked Red Wings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.