MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32048807c0836eaf17faace439983050db4eb173d22e7431b518b4e0dfb24a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Diamondbacks, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 5,359$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 49c | 2,812$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.6 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 34c | 2,568$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.98 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…081ebacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 45c | 2,150$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.35 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,139$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.73 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,023$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Reds | 47c | 1,993$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.29 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,358$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks | 8c | 1,188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,165$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.07 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Reds | 30c | 1,121$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.11 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Diamondbacks | 25c | 963.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 909.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 65c | 822.61$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 817.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 730.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 580.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Reds | 49c | 510.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 484.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Reds | 29c | 472.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.35 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 47c | 469.44$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.44 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Reds | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Reds | 44c | 411.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Reds | 49c | 407.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Reds | 38c | 391.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 56c | 357.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 336$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 329.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 217.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 212.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Reds | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 70c | 180.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Diamondbacks | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Reds | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 130.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…0982backed Reds | 45c | 119$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…1f97backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 119$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Reds | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Reds | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…c778backed Reds | 45c | 91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc79…c4dfbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Reds | 45c | 86.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…8f2dbacked Reds | 45c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ecb0backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…e2c3backed Reds | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…85d5backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…fb9dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 72.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 44c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Reds | 48c | 58.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Reds | 52c | 55.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Reds | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 43.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 43.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 46c | 42.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 47c | 30.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 30.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Diamondbacks | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Reds | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…ab47backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Reds | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…3fa4backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.