MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50341bcf6ca39c326eefd03975b4cad3c2c808927f1d4c1783b66042d14660e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Orioles, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Athletics | 50c | 63,160$31,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,422.42 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Orioles | 49c | 24,371$11,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,938.77 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 51c | 23,456$11,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,846.28 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Athletics | 47c | 20,005$9,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,602.63 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 33c | 16,252$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,411.6 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 43c | 10,546$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.16 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 50c | 8,911$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.59 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 31c | 7,659$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 50c | 6,867$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.58 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Athletics | 70c | 6,601$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 6,433$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Orioles | 49c | 6,213$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 42c | 5,127$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 45c | 4,075$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 33c | 2,460$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 29c | 2,348$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 53c | 2,161$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.41 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 37c | 2,133$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.45 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 31c | 2,050$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.34 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Orioles | 50c | 2,020$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 54c | 1,950$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 50c | 1,775$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Athletics | 63c | 1,749$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.68 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Athletics | 45c | 1,603$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.87 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 53c | 1,259$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.22 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 53c | 1,027$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.83 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Athletics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Athletics | 76c | 930.41$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Orioles | 37c | 725.01$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Orioles | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 52c | 599.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…cff5backed Orioles | 53c | 565.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Athletics | 63c | 524.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Athletics | 61c | 523.16$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Orioles | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Athletics | 58c | 513.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Orioles | 29c | 502.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Orioles | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed Orioles | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 7c | 438$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Athletics | 53c | 409.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 51c | 393.16$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Orioles | 52c | 381.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 28c | 361.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Orioles | 53c | 347.17$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Orioles | 35c | 316.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 44c | 311.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Athletics | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Orioles | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Orioles | 17c | 292.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Athletics | 76c | 288.19$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 63c | 265.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Orioles | 24c | 262.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Orioles | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Athletics | 45c | 249.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Orioles | 28c | 246.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 32c | 225.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Orioles | 13c | 204.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Athletics | 70c | 199.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 43c | 188.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Athletics | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Athletics | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Orioles | 38c | 149.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 61c | 140.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Orioles | 36c | 137.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 47c | 113.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Athletics | 46c | 109.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Athletics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Athletics | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Athletics | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Orioles | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Orioles | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…d867backed Athletics | 73c | 97.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Orioles | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…b287backed Athletics | 52c | 94.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Orioles | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Orioles | 28c | 86.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Orioles | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…ad90backed Athletics | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf616…f38bbacked Orioles | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 55c | 84.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Athletics | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Orioles | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3d5bbacked Athletics | 57c | 70.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Athletics | 52c | 64.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Orioles | 55c | 63.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Orioles | 55c | 61.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Orioles | 18c | 61.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Orioles | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.