MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce5fb0a53bf22e4f4e303afc99d93cc935fcfdc5b70e72f1b3b09ebf1e16693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 45c | 6,763$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.96 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 50c | 4,962$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 2,580$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 2,503$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.53 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 49c | 2,131$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 46c | 1,387$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.91 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 18c | 1,360$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.49 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Twins | 22c | 1,248$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 57c | 1,089$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 940.32$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 44c | 909$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Blue Jays | 29c | 816.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.98 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays | 67c | 707.22$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 14c | 702.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Twins | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Blue Jays | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 619.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 65c | 606.09$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 38c | 571$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Twins | 6c | 521.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 53c | 468.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 449.32$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Twins | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Twins | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 73c | 323.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 311$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 55c | 299.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Twins | 59c | 241.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 71c | 238.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Twins | 57c | 219.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Twins | 56c | 216.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Twins | 56c | 211.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twins | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Blue Jays | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 185.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed Twins | 22c | 182.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Twins | 54c | 175.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Twins | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Blue Jays | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Twins | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Blue Jays | 45c | 147.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 41c | 146$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e67…da93backed Blue Jays | 43c | 113$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…000ebacked Twins | 57c | 113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 112.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…631dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…3ae0backed Twins | 57c | 112$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…0223backed Blue Jays | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…8282backed Twins | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…0eb1backed Twins | 57c | 109$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd24…5954backed Blue Jays | 43c | 109$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…8bedbacked Twins | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…9ce1backed Blue Jays | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 104$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Blue Jays | 28c | 100.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Twins | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…52c6backed Blue Jays | 43c | 96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194d…650ebacked Twins | 57c | 96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…6d19backed Twins | 57c | 95.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7bdebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 94.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…8795backed Blue Jays | 43c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…4bb6backed Blue Jays | 43c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…1346backed Twins | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…e0e5backed Twins | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Twins | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…eb03backed Twins | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…6058backed Blue Jays | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…efa8backed Blue Jays | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…e1acbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…491bbacked Twins | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…0836backed Twins | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Twins | 59c | 84.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…2684backed Blue Jays | 43c | 84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…23fabacked Twins | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed Twins | 56c | 83.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Twins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…ee2fbacked Twins | 57c | 83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…9e25backed Blue Jays | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…ca82backed Twins | 56c | 79.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…7864backed Blue Jays | 45c | 75.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Twins | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…ba5bbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 75.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…cb1bbacked Twins | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62c…034ebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Twins | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Twins | 57c | 73.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.