MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92802a649d3552c1e9249515088fded42376f3504673d4dbdd5780c6bc2fb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Phillies, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 56c | 20,296$11,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,365.76 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 44c | 19,829$8,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,104.03 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pirates | 45c | 15,052$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.37 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…e647backed Pirates | 44c | 13,054$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…d15dbacked Phillies | 56c | 12,800$7,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,168 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.94 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 46c | 7,522$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.9 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates | 45c | 7,462$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.18 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 58c | 7,186$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 46c | 6,401$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.02 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 55c | 5,598$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.94 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Phillies | 56c | 4,255$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.27 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Pirates | 35c | 4,082$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.49 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…a6a8backed Phillies | 55c | 3,217$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Pirates | 53c | 2,845$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Phillies | 60c | 2,649$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.73 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 43c | 2,252$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 43c | 2,022$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 45c | 2,021$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.9 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 56c | 1,986$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.16 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Pirates | 44c | 1,986$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.9 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Phillies | 56c | 1,872$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.32 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 51c | 1,589$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.31 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 43c | 1,539$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Phillies | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Phillies | 55c | 1,452$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,427$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 43c | 1,380$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Pirates | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Phillies | 54c | 1,189$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pirates | 55c | 1,146$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.95 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 44c | 1,111$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 57c | 1,026$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.14 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Phillies | 47c | 1,026$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,024$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.58 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Phillies | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 57c | 878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Phillies | 55c | 844.32$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.62 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Phillies | 55c | 838.18$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Phillies | 53c | 826.77$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 52c | 720$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Phillies | 55c | 658.18$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Pirates | 55c | 657.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.74 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 53c | 615.4$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 56c | 599.91$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Phillies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.45per pick | 52cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 6c | 507$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Phillies | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 60c | 500$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Pirates | 45c | 492.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 42c | 486.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.77 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 57c | 457.5$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 50c | 453.58$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Pirates | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 56c | 449.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pirates | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Phillies | 54c | 428.65$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 56c | 426.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Phillies | 57c | 387.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 55c | 377.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Pirates | 35c | 366.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Pirates | 42c | 352.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Phillies | 58c | 329.41$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 54c | 306.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 55c | 286.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Phillies | 58c | 281.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked Phillies | 56c | 254$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Phillies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 43c | 239.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Phillies | 55c | 234.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Phillies | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Pirates | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Phillies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 38c | 206.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Pirates | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…9a29backed Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Pirates | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Phillies | 20c | 199.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 43c | 196.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a3dfbacked Pirates | 46c | 195.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 54c | 192.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…30c4backed Pirates | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 56c | 177.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.