NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45fc777937f3b36150bdcac509ce74006ebf0b26916dc4a525d4ec83896f0ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Patriots, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Patriots | 18c | 15,118$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.25 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Titans | 77c | 14,787$11,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.3 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Patriots | 36c | 13,278$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.09 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Titans | 62c | 13,116$8,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.66 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans | 61c | 5,299$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.56 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Patriots | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 31c | 4,737$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.99 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4b03backed Patriots | 39c | 4,380$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…e1bebacked Titans | 61c | 2,788$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…b6c5backed Patriots | 40c | 1,006$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Patriots | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Titans | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Patriots | 41c | 858.49$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.23 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Titans | 60c | 830.48$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Patriots | 34c | 700$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Patriots | 12c | 633.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Patriots | 79c | 633.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793a…197abacked Titans | 61c | 578.06$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Titans | 62c | 526$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Titans | 63c | 511.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…ac29backed Patriots | 38c | 504.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Patriots | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Patriots | 37c | 499.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots | 34c | 492.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 39c | 484$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…0aedbacked Patriots | 39c | 474.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Patriots | 37c | 469.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Titans | 61c | 465.6$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Patriots | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Patriots | 39c | 385.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…8f6fbacked Titans | 62c | 346.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…79cbbacked Titans | 61c | 346.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Patriots | 16c | 318.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Patriots | 26c | 308.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Titans | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Patriots | 23c | 298.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Patriots | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Patriots | 40c | 258.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Patriots | 39c | 256.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Patriots | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Titans | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1cf5backed Titans | 61c | 242$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Patriots | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…710dbacked Titans | 61c | 214$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Patriots | 46c | 212.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Patriots | 37c | 212.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Patriots | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…e6a9backed Titans | 64c | 201$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…d42ebacked Patriots | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Patriots | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Patriots | 31c | 199.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…944fbacked Patriots | 38c | 190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…edeabacked Titans | 61c | 179$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…ac2bbacked Titans | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Titans | 73c | 159.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…eef9backed Titans | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Patriots | 30c | 151.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Titans | 58c | 151.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…721abacked Titans | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots | 39c | 147$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…a8abbacked Titans | 62c | 145$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Patriots | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Titans | 63c | 141$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…fbc6backed Patriots | 39c | 134.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Patriots | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Patriots | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Titans | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Patriots | 40c | 115.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…979cbacked Titans | 67c | 102.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Patriots | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…a222backed Patriots | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Patriots | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Titans | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9a…6250backed Patriots | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Patriots | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…d4afbacked Patriots | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Patriots | 36c | 86.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Titans | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Titans | 73c | 82.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Patriots | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Patriots | 40c | 79.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Patriots | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Patriots | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Titans | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…64fabacked Patriots | 21c | 70.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Patriots | 38c | 70.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c932backed Patriots | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 37c | 69.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Patriots | 35c | 67.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Patriots | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Patriots | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c68…ce0abacked Patriots | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Patriots | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…c038backed Titans | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Patriots | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6fe3backed Patriots | 38c | 61.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…bfd9backed Titans | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…5163backed Patriots | 39c | 58.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d6…bd67backed Patriots | 49c | 57.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…5eb1backed Patriots | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.