NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53f2bcdd69d3ff313209951c446171a73cef9382d350e7454006d70648d362a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Seahawks | 40c | 9,625$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.82 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bills | 60c | 5,040$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Seahawks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.87 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Seahawks | 9c | 4,689$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a48bbacked Bills | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Seahawks | 27c | 3,988$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.77 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Seahawks | 39c | 3,911$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.13 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Seahawks | 5c | 3,607$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Bills | 76c | 2,562$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Seahawks | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks | 24c | 2,407$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.92 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Seahawks | 11c | 2,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Bills | 65c | 2,350$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.86 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Seahawks | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…30aabacked Seahawks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…5691backed Bills | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bills | 57c | 1,495$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.29 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 60c | 1,463$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Seahawks | 39c | 1,453$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.86 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Seahawks | 26c | 1,092$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Seahawks | 13c | 1,015$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bills | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Bills | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…a8c3backed Bills | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…c5b7backed Bills | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Seahawks | 29c | 732.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…9db0backed Bills | 61c | 722.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…7a3fbacked Seahawks | 40c | 722.5$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…08e3backed Bills | 60c | 593.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Seahawks | 24c | 557.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Seahawks | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Seahawks | 21c | 534.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…709dbacked Seahawks | 47c | 532.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Seahawks | 4c | 501.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…cc27backed Seahawks | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Bills | 61c | 492$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…1ae7backed Seahawks | 40c | 428.18$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Seahawks | 40c | 405$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Bills | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…50ccbacked Seahawks | 42c | 359.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…31bdbacked Seahawks | 42c | 353.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…1158backed Seahawks | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…cc28backed Seahawks | 14c | 344.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…801abacked Seahawks | 41c | 302.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…90c1backed Seahawks | 40c | 294.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d180backed Seahawks | 41c | 291.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…4eb9backed Seahawks | 40c | 290.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…1525backed Bills | 61c | 280.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Seahawks | 27c | 255.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Seahawks | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Seahawks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…c20bbacked Bills | 61c | 243.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Seahawks | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bills | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bills | 59c | 213$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Bills | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Bills | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Bills | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…37a8backed Bills | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…b587backed Bills | 61c | 193.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Bills | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Seahawks | 22c | 180.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…c107backed Bills | 60c | 178.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Bills | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…60d3backed Bills | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bills | 59c | 161.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 64c | 157.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bills | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…cf1bbacked Seahawks | 28c | 150.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Bills | 61c | 148.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…8224backed Bills | 60c | 148.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Bills | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Bills | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…e795backed Seahawks | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Seahawks | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Bills | 59c | 112.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bills | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Bills | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Seahawks | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Seahawks | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…1931backed Seahawks | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…367bbacked Seahawks | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…fd09backed Bills | 61c | 97.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Bills | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…3f6abacked Bills | 69c | 90.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Bills | 59c | 90.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Bills | 60c | 82.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Bills | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Bills | 61c | 81.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Bills | 59c | 80.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Bills | 77c | 77.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Seahawks | 39c | 76.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Bills | 59c | 74.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Seahawks | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…382bbacked Bills | 76c | 66.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…5468backed Seahawks | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ac…71ddbacked Seahawks | 42c | 60.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…85a1backed Seahawks | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Seahawks | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.