World Politics · resolved market
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff09e179f1732c49d15c6465cf68ad82904e5025a27712a2b3f30e7413705b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $824,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x257c…2cfebacked Yes | 47c | 78,556$36,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,921.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…613dbacked No | 53c | 78,556$41,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,921.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…fdc5backed No | 53c | 70,439$37,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,106.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…67c0backed Yes | 47c | 70,439$33,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,106.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…9454backed Yes | 29c | 49,247$14,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,281.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…dc3abacked No | 71c | 49,247$34,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,281.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 24,547$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.82 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 18,197$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.51 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 6c | 17,360$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.36 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 6c | 14,716$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 4c | 12,781$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.24 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…6fd7backed Yes | 3c | 8,954$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 5c | 8,420$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.93 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…3d21backed Yes | 9c | 7,917$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730c…f684backed Yes | 5c | 7,652$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9504…0371backed Yes | 6c | 6,514$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 6,169$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.19 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 5,470$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.39 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 6c | 5,277$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 4c | 5,143$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 4c | 4,422$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 75c | 4,408$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.45 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bb…59aabacked Yes | 9c | 4,252$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…f65ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,163$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 36c | 4,159$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.3 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…d960backed Yes | 9c | 3,773$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 13c | 3,588$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 3,478$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.09 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 3,310$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 3,099$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…1ff6backed Yes | 3c | 3,082$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 7c | 3,058$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…83e7backed Yes | 5c | 2,814$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,750$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 5c | 2,469$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…c84dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,303$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,210$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.44 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…d0dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,004$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…856ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,883$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 6c | 1,862$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d5…d028backed Yes | 4c | 1,839$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 1,700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…98c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,697$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…b657backed Yes | 6c | 1,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb592…1cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,663$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 42c | 1,595$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.18 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…0a3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,554$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 18c | 1,535$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,534$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeeb…6ff3backed Yes | 7c | 1,532$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 6c | 1,510$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…91d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,505$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…3c73backed Yes | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94b…0379backed Yes | 5c | 1,398$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…07f2backed Yes | 4c | 1,373$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8d…e3ccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,361$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…d9d5backed Yes | 8c | 1,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +292.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 80c | 1,274$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…f47ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,238$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…2695backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…63a9backed Yes | 45c | 1,106$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…66c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,098$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…5f0fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,081$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 1,073$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…23bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,034$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +594.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…3e59backed No | 79c | 965.56$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…a6c2backed Yes | 6c | 920$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…14a8backed Yes | 3c | 919.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…d79cbacked Yes | 5c | 909.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…c75cbacked Yes | 3c | 882.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 6c | 870$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…d59abacked Yes | 6c | 836.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…8af0backed Yes | 7c | 807.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…6be7backed Yes | 7c | 802.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…1a7cbacked Yes | 7c | 750.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 6c | 731.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…b48cbacked Yes | 28c | 712.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +855%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed Yes | 15c | 707.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…6ba4backed Yes | 3c | 688.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 22c | 662.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…c963backed Yes | 8c | 637.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2850…0c6cbacked Yes | 8c | 636.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ac…e9d7backed Yes | 8c | 630.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…9986backed Yes | 4c | 623.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…8a81backed Yes | 3c | 615.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…9e1ebacked Yes | 5c | 601.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…e6e1backed Yes | 5c | 593$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…52edbacked Yes | 50c | 590$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…faa9backed Yes | 5c | 587.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked Yes | 9c | 557.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fe…b3a6backed Yes | 4c | 550.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 46c | 544$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe992…847ebacked Yes | 4c | 527.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?this page
- Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will Livre win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes won
- Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Liberal Initiative win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the People-Animals-Nature Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP+PEV) win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.