World Politics · resolved market
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e1d8e619fe3be141e7b3c0dfa341268a525ece139c0f41470be23d6434cbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 23,596$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.27 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 21,689$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.07 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 5c | 20,000$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.75 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 4c | 15,631$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 14c | 11,181$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.74 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 77c | 9,955$7,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 8,706$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.59 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 7,288$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 79c | 7,047$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.43 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 37c | 6,248$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.41 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 58c | 6,062$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.22 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…312abacked No | 8c | 5,578$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…544cbacked No | 5c | 5,263$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 4c | 3,761$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 8c | 3,542$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.69 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…5d65backed No | 4c | 3,522$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 57c | 3,389$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.9 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…4745backed Yes | 63c | 3,268$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,204$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 70c | 2,994$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed No | 4c | 2,900$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…1719backed No | 4c | 2,788$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 71c | 2,121$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 59c | 2,057$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.84 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 5c | 1,912$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 4c | 1,535$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 65c | 1,313$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.92 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…a6c2backed Yes | 73c | 1,274$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 27c | 1,208$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.98 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed No | 4c | 1,069$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 992.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 79c | 985.85$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…9f72backed No | 4c | 833.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 4c | 806.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed No | 6c | 776.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 47c | 755.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…2f32backed No | 5c | 751.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 9c | 740.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 28c | 736.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 51c | 721$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 71c | 673.18$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 65c | 609.63$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…f36ebacked No | 4c | 595$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Yes | 65c | 584.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 4c | 580$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…23e2backed No | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…afc2backed No | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 71c | 500$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes | 56c | 447.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…8336backed No | 5c | 415.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6369backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e0…e1cfbacked No | 4c | 390$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…e4f8backed No | 7c | 367$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…d0dcbacked No | 6c | 360.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 3c | 359.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b66…2c09backed No | 8c | 321.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…cb79backed No | 8c | 320.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a6…3c3ebacked No | 4c | 303.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 8c | 291.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…4e0abacked No | 5c | 279.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…e45ebacked Yes | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…e9f5backed No | 8c | 266.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…7cd7backed No | 4c | 256$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…4fbbbacked No | 8c | 255.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…3c8abacked Yes | 70c | 250.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…1f3fbacked No | 5c | 239$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 73c | 235$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 70c | 225.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…7f45backed Yes | 69c | 224.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 26c | 219.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020f…8357backed Yes | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…b0d2backed Yes | 51c | 187.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…ee3bbacked Yes | 76c | 172$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 73c | 159.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 19c | 159.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed Yes | 78c | 158.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…047cbacked Yes | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…0b30backed Yes | 72c | 138.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…d995backed No | 10c | 132.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a1…801dbacked No | 8c | 132.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…f852backed No | 8c | 132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…d41cbacked No | 8c | 126$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…dd29backed Yes | 69c | 117.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5838backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8a…3082backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…6c7ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…54e7backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…3307backed No | 49c | 93.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?this page
- Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will Livre win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Liberal Initiative win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the People-Animals-Nature Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
- Will the Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP+PEV) win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.