NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf70f855ff110055673607b1212c0b2079c1db4c91918834feb891a9ef9455aa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Lakers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $888,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $872,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 40c | 40,301$16,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,092.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lakers | 10c | 36,124$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.39 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Lakers | 1c | 21,014$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…f65cbacked Lakers | 10c | 20,819$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 13c | 20,028$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.38 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…61ccbacked Lakers | 9c | 19,556$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 24c | 15,314$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.19 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Lakers | 12c | 13,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers | 11c | 13,495$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.89 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lakers | 10c | 11,945$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…f2dcbacked Lakers | 12c | 11,759$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fea…4976backed Lakers | 1c | 11,222$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lakers | 24c | 11,022$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.28 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 48c | 10,515$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…8eb1backed Lakers | 12c | 9,986$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lakers | 24c | 9,330$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.04 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Lakers | 12c | 9,032$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.87 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Lakers | 8c | 8,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 4c | 7,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 2c | 6,047$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 11c | 6,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Lakers | 12c | 5,536$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.76 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 79c | 5,484$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.49 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Lakers | 13c | 5,385$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lakers | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 10c | 4,900$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 12c | 4,300$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.67 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Lakers | 14c | 4,288$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.34 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Lakers | 12c | 4,080$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.2 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Lakers | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 3c | 4,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lakers | 9c | 3,784$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Nuggets | 78c | 3,770$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.94 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lakers | 10c | 3,636$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers | 12c | 3,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Lakers | 6c | 3,410$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Lakers | 16c | 2,578$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311b…080dbacked Lakers | 13c | 2,510$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked Lakers | 11c | 2,408$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Lakers | 10c | 2,350$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Lakers | 12c | 2,224$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Lakers | 13c | 2,169$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 14c | 2,106$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Lakers | 12c | 2,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…2864backed Lakers | 11c | 1,890$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 11c | 1,855$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Lakers | 25c | 1,836$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 11c | 1,750$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Lakers | 10c | 1,715$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Lakers | 13c | 1,710$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 1,664$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 12c | 1,661$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Lakers | 11c | 1,420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 2c | 1,386$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Lakers | 11c | 1,363$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…c018backed Lakers | 12c | 1,288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Lakers | 7c | 1,185$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Lakers | 9c | 1,035$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Lakers | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Lakers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Lakers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Lakers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Lakers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…d7fdbacked Lakers | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Lakers | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Lakers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Lakers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Lakers | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Lakers | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…fae5backed Nuggets | 62c | 999.99$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 11c | 998.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Lakers | 12c | 994.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Lakers | 12c | 979.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…596bbacked Lakers | 22c | 973.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 50c | 953.09$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.21 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Lakers | 19c | 931.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Lakers | 16c | 922.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lakers | 10c | 909$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lakers | 10c | 901.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Lakers | 12c | 900$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers | 23c | 877.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Lakers | 12c | 863.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 60c | 850$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Lakers | 11c | 840$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Lakers | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Lakers | 13c | 791.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 11c | 783.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 16c | 783.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Lakers | 14c | 770$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Lakers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.