TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c27,831$13,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,565.2865050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c18,854$9,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,938.2255053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c11,927$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,202.041,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c11,091$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.491,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c7,678$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.161,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under54c7,107$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over50c6,632$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.64740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under54c6,288$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.3241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under54c5,348$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.0317248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c5,247$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.6550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under50c3,598$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.188247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under55c3,316$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.966943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under54c3,039$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.923246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over48c2,751$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.0748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c2,519$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.11,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under55c2,433$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.881,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c2,393$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.936,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over48c2,215$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.4847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,134$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06761947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under49c2,133$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.122,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over46c2,103$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.8819842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0705,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.244744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c1,746$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.242,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over49c1,334$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.1688053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over46c1,259$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.781,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over47c1,120$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.9418553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked Under50c1,102$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.841866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7420…bf2cbacked Over48c1,070$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c1,062$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.081,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed Over47c1,020$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.821145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,000$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over50c999.51$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.7942550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over49c975.97$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9711451.8%59 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c967.6$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.51,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c935.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c824.79$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.891,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over46c803.11$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.6812049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Under52c777.19$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.551250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c736.34$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.631,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Over45c592.25$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7414248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c525.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.551,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad77…3d8ebacked Under49c515.25$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over46c499.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9661352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.87050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c447.6$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.92,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c434.82$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.731,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c395.95$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8940341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over44c394.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.139948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c333.35$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.221,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under49c322.81$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1822350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15622849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under49c279.65$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6767742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under53c276.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.747346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c264.31$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1541847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under54c263.71$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.414346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under14c245.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.966,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over41c245.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.711,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c223.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under57c210.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.221,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0a…6165backed Over77c199.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…3adfbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a43…85c7backed Over52c188.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.324950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick53cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over46c157.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1922450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under50c138.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.363839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under54c138.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5630750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.249649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under23c113.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.081,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c111.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4948339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c110.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5823248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Under54c106.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under54c105.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1830048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5454146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c99.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over47c99.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.514864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over47c98.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.998351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.552449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5621856%122 W · 96 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under27c88.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.918949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over46c83.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under55c79.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5779543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over49c75.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.534254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under54c72.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under54c72.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.899948.5%48 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under55c67.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0511365.5%74 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under57c63.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.111,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under54c58.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5111250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under54c53.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.885250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under54c53.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.883357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under49c53.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1321052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed Under54c52.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c51.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.856,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under54c51.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6538352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.