MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a54e7833b9fa6c2f00261a5c1c3382b73f9d144710ebc09d482d57f3df0547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 27,831$13,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,565.28 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 18,854$9,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,938.22 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 11,927$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.04 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 11,091$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.49 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 7,678$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 54c | 7,107$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 50c | 6,632$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.6 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 54c | 6,288$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.32 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 5,348$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.03 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 5,247$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.65 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 50c | 3,598$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.18 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 55c | 3,316$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.96 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 3,039$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 48c | 2,751$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.07 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,519$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.1 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 2,433$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.88 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 2,393$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 2,215$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.48 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 2,134$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 2,133$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 1,746$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.24 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 49c | 1,334$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.16 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 46c | 1,259$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 47c | 1,120$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.94 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Under | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…bf2cbacked Over | 48c | 1,070$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 1,062$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Over | 47c | 1,020$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 50c | 999.51$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.79 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 49c | 975.97$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.97 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 935.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.55 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 824.79$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 46c | 803.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Under | 52c | 777.19$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 736.34$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.63 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Over | 45c | 592.25$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.74 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 525.1$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Under | 49c | 515.25$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 499.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 447.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 434.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 395.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 44c | 394.1$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 333.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 49c | 322.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 49c | 279.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 53c | 276.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 50c | 264.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 54c | 263.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 14c | 245.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 41c | 245.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 223.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 210.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…6165backed Over | 77c | 199.79$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…3adfbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…85c7backed Over | 52c | 188.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 50c | 138.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 138.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 23c | 113.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 111.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 110.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Under | 54c | 106.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 54c | 105.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 99.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 47c | 99.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 47c | 98.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 46c | 83.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 55c | 79.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 49c | 75.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 54c | 72.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 54c | 72.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 55c | 67.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 63.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 49c | 53.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Under | 54c | 52.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 51.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 54c | 51.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 16.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-6.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.