MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598327b9958b62794825ed741903f3c5328edfd12523073e2a7614a9a9575c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 48c | 191,324$91,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,978.08 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 89,529$45,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,869.45 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Over | 53c | 55,555$29,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,110.85 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 25,008$13,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,918.57 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 54c | 7,318$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.73 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Over | 57c | 5,122$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 45c | 5,086$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Under | 46c | 5,034$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 50c | 3,635$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.78 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Over | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 46c | 3,461$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.43 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 2,549$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.2 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 2,432$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.39 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 53c | 2,119$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.69 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Under | 8c | 2,056$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 52c | 1,907$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.65 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 12c | 1,642$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 51c | 1,512$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.44 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 1,356$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.65 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,339$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.67 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 55c | 1,267$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.46 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 974.21$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.61 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 21c | 800.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.95 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 55c | 755.76$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 51c | 737.96$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.6 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 501.55$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.12 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 71c | 345.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 43c | 342.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 286.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 243.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 54c | 241.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Over | 55c | 221.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b65…6b1bbacked Over | 53c | 201.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 185.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 53c | 184.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 54c | 183.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf0…21efbacked Under | 44c | 182.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 179.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 174.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 164.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 52c | 144.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6047…7314backed Over | 52c | 130.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 52c | 106.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 48c | 99.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf8…e6a5backed Over | 58c | 99.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 96.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 52c | 95.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 54c | 95.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…324fbacked Under | 48c | 92.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 42c | 77.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 76.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 46c | 75.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 72.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 44c | 69.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 59.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 58.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 48c | 56.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 53c | 56.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 54c | 49.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 45c | 48.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 43.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Under | 44c | 41.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 39.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 46c | 39.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…4ecdbacked Under | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 36.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 36.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 48c | 35.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed Under | 50c | 32.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 32.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…8a8ebacked Over | 55c | 30.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 52c | 28.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 52c | 28.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 46c | 25.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 52c | 24.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Over | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 54c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Over | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 16.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-6.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.