NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a5cd1f5dcf1fdd12e3deba7927f5a3b0a7d39d8db8b1be2be63d2c4e3c16bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Rangers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Rangers | 20c | 2,562$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers | 41c | 2,202$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.31 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lightning | 59c | 1,215$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.18 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 40c | 1,073$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.39 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 16c | 695.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Rangers | 40c | 554.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 60c | 499.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Lightning | 59c | 416.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rangers | 18c | 360.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Rangers | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lightning | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 61c | 259.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers | 5c | 255.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Lightning | 61c | 246.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…1261backed Lightning | 62c | 211.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…d0b2backed Rangers | 5c | 208.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Rangers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Rangers | 8c | 198.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers | 39c | 198.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Rangers | 31c | 188.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 35c | 132.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Lightning | 60c | 130.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Lightning | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Lightning | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rangers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Rangers | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9f30backed Lightning | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Lightning | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Lightning | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Rangers | 41c | 75.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Lightning | 60c | 75.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Lightning | 59c | 63.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…bc5cbacked Lightning | 75c | 62.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…f758backed Lightning | 65c | 62.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rangers | 41c | 62.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Rangers | 38c | 60.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…8dcebacked Rangers | 42c | 58.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…72acbacked Lightning | 60c | 58.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Lightning | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4b…d5cebacked Lightning | 60c | 57.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…b5bcbacked Lightning | 60c | 55.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…ba97backed Lightning | 64c | 52.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Lightning | 65c | 46.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…af77backed Lightning | 60c | 45.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Lightning | 60c | 41.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…0d13backed Rangers | 34c | 40.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 40c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…319fbacked Lightning | 60c | 39.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…caf7backed Rangers | 35c | 39.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Lightning | 63c | 39.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…0c08backed Lightning | 67c | 39.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…3cc4backed Rangers | 33c | 39.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…3e35backed Rangers | 40c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…75f3backed Lightning | 60c | 39.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…b815backed Rangers | 39c | 38.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffb…c22ebacked Lightning | 61c | 38.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca11…cfe2backed Lightning | 61c | 38.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…6bd3backed Lightning | 65c | 38.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…9fc9backed Lightning | 64c | 37.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…00fbbacked Rangers | 31c | 37.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…069dbacked Lightning | 66c | 36.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…74cabacked Rangers | 34c | 36.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…cdd9backed Rangers | 33c | 36.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…a794backed Lightning | 65c | 36.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…f1a1backed Rangers | 40c | 36.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…cd10backed Lightning | 60c | 36.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…8a62backed Lightning | 61c | 36.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…1701backed Rangers | 33c | 36.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…6bf6backed Rangers | 40c | 35.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…b3bbbacked Lightning | 59c | 35.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…cc37backed Rangers | 33c | 35.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…b0cabacked Rangers | 39c | 35.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea3…e3d8backed Lightning | 61c | 35.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…6616backed Lightning | 60c | 35.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…cb9fbacked Rangers | 40c | 35.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Lightning | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…e94ebacked Rangers | 32c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…232abacked Lightning | 60c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…ccecbacked Lightning | 61c | 34.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…258bbacked Rangers | 40c | 34.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…db63backed Rangers | 35c | 33.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…9cb9backed Rangers | 40c | 33.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Lightning | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…9e74backed Lightning | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…d031backed Lightning | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f55fbacked Rangers | 37c | 33.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…5512backed Rangers | 31c | 33.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.