Movies · resolved market
Will "Wicked" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9538f1ee10cee1fd751edbaa068ee466b8dd764fa39934446523701214fa26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9056…df79backed Yes | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…723dbacked No | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 39c | 4,064$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.6 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 38c | 1,041$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.41 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 62c | 990$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 51c | 916.86$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.49 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 633.77$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 601$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.31 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 41c | 423$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 402.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 37c | 385.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 61c | 367.27$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 40c | 341$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 41c | 321$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 41c | 318.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 40c | 251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 37c | 249.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…7463backed Yes | 42c | 224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 41c | 211$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d55…cebdbacked Yes | 58c | 207.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…7be9backed Yes | 41c | 206$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 40c | 205.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 60c | 204.49$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…7b5cbacked Yes | 41c | 203$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 39c | 200.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 39c | 190$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…633bbacked Yes | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c536backed No | 58c | 188$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…6858backed No | 59c | 178$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…d781backed No | 59c | 177$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 39c | 172.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…fd05backed Yes | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…51a7backed Yes | 38c | 141$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 37c | 131.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…7e41backed No | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 39c | 126.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 61c | 124$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…bc97backed Yes | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…7710backed Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…62d1backed No | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0230…88c3backed Yes | 41c | 104$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…69b6backed No | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa119…4674backed No | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…ea3cbacked Yes | 41c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…da87backed Yes | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…46bfbacked No | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…e3ddbacked No | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…23a4backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…4b13backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…c0f8backed No | 64c | 74.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69d…5868backed No | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…6986backed No | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…22eebacked Yes | 41c | 66.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…837abacked Yes | 38c | 62.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…dbbdbacked No | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…e233backed No | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…923bbacked No | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…618cbacked Yes | 41c | 51.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…0c03backed No | 63c | 50.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…77edbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…92d0backed Yes | 40c | 49.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…5f3ebacked No | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…782fbacked Yes | 37c | 45.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…ea49backed Yes | 41c | 45.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…0858backed Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…0806backed No | 63c | 41.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…14f2backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f1…14dbbacked No | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…3e46backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…5774backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…1f91backed No | 61c | 27.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…6ffebacked Yes | 38c | 26.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…a7aebacked No | 62c | 26.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…e777backed No | 63c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…12bebacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…7382backed No | 61c | 24.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…0795backed No | 64c | 22.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…c745backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7977…9082backed No | 64c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcc…632fbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…bec0backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9a…c302backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…65b8backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f93…3bd3backed No | 64c | 18.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…fbddbacked No | 62c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Wicked" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?this page
- Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No won
- Will "Anora" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No won
- Will "Conclave" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?Yes won
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.