Movies · resolved market
Will "Anora" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e996d9291ff99a939ada6cc4c8c52f58fd205a2df89d62f19e5b50f50822c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 43c | 24,604$10,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,493.39 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 62c | 5,159$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.22 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 41c | 4,088$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.64 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 50c | 1,941$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,704$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 41c | 1,401$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.49 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 55c | 1,221$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.64 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 61c | 1,209$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,125$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.46 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 59c | 974$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed No | 61c | 846$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Yes | 54c | 781.1$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 53c | 770.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 61c | 755$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 57c | 750$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 63c | 739$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.78 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 56c | 631.9$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.36 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 33c | 630.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 599.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 521.01$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 46c | 433.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 54c | 363$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 37c | 321.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 60c | 298$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 55c | 265$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 240.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked No | 43c | 231.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…d066backed No | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…f5acbacked Yes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 40c | 156$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 63c | 151$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…5680backed Yes | 42c | 146.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0a3fbacked No | 59c | 138.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…71aebacked Yes | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…7b5cbacked Yes | 46c | 127$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…f4abbacked Yes | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…05fabacked Yes | 45c | 122$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…640cbacked Yes | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f1…e940backed Yes | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…7c8bbacked Yes | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…a909backed No | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280d…316ebacked Yes | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…17a9backed Yes | 39c | 104.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…21d2backed Yes | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e5…cff1backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…f454backed No | 64c | 100.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…d5e3backed No | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…f2f9backed No | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…2564backed Yes | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c820backed No | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked No | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…1a06backed No | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…8841backed No | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…0eedbacked No | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…6ef0backed Yes | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416d…a5febacked No | 63c | 79.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…a276backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…5e47backed No | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…52bfbacked Yes | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…a552backed Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…15fabacked No | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…e4f8backed No | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…70a0backed Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed No | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…de29backed No | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…7756backed No | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf0…e852backed Yes | 48c | 33.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 54c | 32.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…9aafbacked No | 63c | 27.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…ad4dbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…1af3backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…e924backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anora" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?this page
- Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No won
- Will "Conclave" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?Yes won
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No won
- Will "Wicked" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.