AI · resolved market
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68531bde45716aca08df2997af3a2b19d20e36c3eefb8dfc6c7211698ab6bbb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 22c | 9,117$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…bb9dbacked No | 7c | 6,059$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…3025backed No | 8c | 5,740$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…b50abacked No | 7c | 2,486$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…868ebacked No | 24c | 1,673$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…daffbacked No | 24c | 1,671$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 15c | 1,624$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…e6e4backed No | 8c | 1,439$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 20c | 1,378$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…3096backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,167$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…2f11backed No | 9c | 1,149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 1,115$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…e875backed Yes | 72c | 1,069$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…89f3backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 76c | 803.64$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked No | 24c | 661.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed No | 24c | 600.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed No | 16c | 519.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…c683backed No | 22c | 459.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3f…ab7dbacked No | 28c | 450.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…6ab2backed Yes | 78c | 438.61$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 23c | 410$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed No | 7c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed No | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…6295backed Yes | 77c | 382.93$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125b…59acbacked Yes | 78c | 326.35$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…8a82backed No | 21c | 320.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 19c | 319.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked No | 16c | 314.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 280.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…abc4backed No | 7c | 280.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 17c | 275.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…da29backed No | 45c | 224.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 20c | 195.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed Yes | 73c | 175.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2238backed No | 30c | 168.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 51c | 152.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…4c73backed No | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 19c | 148.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 21c | 143.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…55a0backed Yes | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…9e58backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…75e5backed No | 24c | 117.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 72c | 105.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6336…b618backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…752abacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…92c2backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c7…801bbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…a164backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 99.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 68c | 86.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ca…b4edbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…28b1backed No | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 17c | 68.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed No | 30c | 67.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed Yes | 75c | 66.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…75bdbacked Yes | 78c | 64.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…c8abbacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…f5b3backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…3c37backed Yes | 76c | 58.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…531fbacked Yes | 76c | 57.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…8321backed No | 24c | 55.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 25c | 53.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…ccfabacked No | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 20c | 51.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…621ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…f8fcbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…1e1dbacked Yes | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 76c | 45.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked No | 26c | 44.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…c068backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked No | 31c | 41.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 67c | 39.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…2a26backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…5010backed Yes | 80c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…119dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…31b9backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…0f0fbacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…65fabacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…1738backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9328…9d74backed Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d5…06ffbacked Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…c646backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…2689backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.