College Football · resolved market
O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b0de8722dd15f6cf32a6f21e952c5e6678a4e55753dd6249eeea2337c4cca20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 47c | 112,666$52,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,984.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 53c | 61,506$32,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,583.12 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 54c | 25,162$13,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,581.69 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 18,677$9,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,639.4 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 55c | 12,099$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.04 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 53c | 9,929$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.83 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Under | 53c | 9,910$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.3 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,850$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.3 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 3,250$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 46c | 1,500$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.42 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 846.45$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 46c | 706.47$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.23 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 53c | 184.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…caf3backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 56c | 85.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 55c | 31.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…3d22backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 53c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 49.5this page
- Memphis vs. RiceMemphis won
- Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis (-13.5)Memphis won
- Spread: Memphis (-14.5)Memphis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.