College Football · resolved market
Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb16f18d51e7825aa2ac3279c2e055c7466112e8a5a4d1ec6df2cf6d8297a251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 50c | 169,219$84,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,166.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 66,758$33,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,381.54 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 51c | 49,863$25,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,430.18 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 50c | 20,378$10,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,189 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Over | 51c | 19,596$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,596.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 10,500$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 52c | 10,451$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,418.1 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,772$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.86 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 48c | 5,185$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.83 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…e6cebacked Over | 50c | 3,275$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…55a4backed Under | 50c | 3,189$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…c284backed Over | 50c | 3,127$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 3,092$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.54 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…c49fbacked Under | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…fb1fbacked Under | 50c | 2,021$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…ba61backed Under | 50c | 1,790$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…9678backed Under | 50c | 1,603$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…b7f7backed Over | 50c | 1,544$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…3ce7backed Over | 50c | 1,352$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…e301backed Under | 49c | 1,341$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…365cbacked Under | 49c | 1,261$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…8769backed Under | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…8f97backed Over | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c3…060dbacked Under | 50c | 995$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…b66cbacked Over | 50c | 986$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2d7bbacked Under | 50c | 865$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…c304backed Under | 50c | 756$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…58a2backed Over | 50c | 751$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47b…119dbacked Over | 51c | 721$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…dbc3backed Over | 50c | 715$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…0dfebacked Over | 51c | 701$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 690.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.77 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…b1debacked Under | 50c | 689$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…3ccabacked Over | 50c | 677$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…d8e3backed Over | 50c | 669$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…5f41backed Under | 50c | 656$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…b580backed Over | 50c | 635$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…31cbbacked Over | 50c | 623$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…320cbacked Over | 51c | 620$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…d891backed Under | 50c | 611$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5b93backed Over | 51c | 561$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…af2cbacked Over | 51c | 560$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…5848backed Under | 50c | 546$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…f17bbacked Over | 50c | 534$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…876abacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…0791backed Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cb92backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…41bbbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 49c | 287.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 50c | 271.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…0105backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…526cbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…6781backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…ad92backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 47c | 177.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…caf3backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…089abacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…cecfbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…262dbacked Under | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…321dbacked Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 53c | 36.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Under | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5this page
- Memphis vs. RiceMemphis won
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis (-13.5)Memphis won
- Spread: Memphis (-14.5)Memphis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.