College Football · resolved market
Memphis vs. Rice
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c4c4c17f8ff510e2becf59d61edebfc017c8ba8ba70cdd1726f8d2948770fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, Rice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Rice | 15c | 53,925$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,059.56 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rice | 17c | 51,827$8,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.42 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rice | 15c | 32,187$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.2 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rice | 15c | 21,183$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.4 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rice | 15c | 16,857$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rice | 15c | 14,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Rice | 15c | 13,335$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.22 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rice | 15c | 12,467$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Rice | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rice | 15c | 11,111$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.65 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rice | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.95 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Rice | 16c | 9,523$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.72 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rice | 1c | 7,857$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Rice | 0c | 6,248$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rice | 15c | 4,999$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rice | 15c | 4,754$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rice | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rice | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rice | 16c | 3,289$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.92 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Rice | 16c | 3,199$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.81 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rice | 18c | 2,648$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.68 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rice | 0c | 2,634$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Rice | 2c | 2,344$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Rice | 17c | 2,337$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.31 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Rice | 17c | 2,176$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.89 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Rice | 16c | 2,125$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rice | 14c | 2,002$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.39 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rice | 15c | 1,988$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Rice | 1c | 1,635$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed Rice | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Rice | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Rice | 9c | 1,069$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Rice | 15c | 1,050$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Rice | 16c | 1,027$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rice | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Rice | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Rice | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rice | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rice | 16c | 708.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Rice | 2c | 696.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rice | 15c | 599.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…2b7dbacked Rice | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rice | 3c | 520.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Rice | 15c | 520.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Rice | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…d29dbacked Rice | 16c | 390$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…9732backed Rice | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Rice | 5c | 323.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Rice | 16c | 275$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rice | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rice | 17c | 226.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…d65cbacked Rice | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Rice | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Rice | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Rice | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rice | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Rice | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Rice | 18c | 179.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Rice | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rice | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Rice | 17c | 148.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…e885backed Rice | 16c | 131.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…0288backed Rice | 16c | 123.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c8…4d4ebacked Rice | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Rice | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rice | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Rice | 17c | 115.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…e969backed Rice | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db8…1ea7backed Rice | 17c | 90.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Rice | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…a3c8backed Rice | 17c | 89.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…b501backed Rice | 16c | 87.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…45eabacked Rice | 17c | 79.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…ed9fbacked Rice | 17c | 79.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…c60abacked Rice | 17c | 69.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…824ebacked Rice | 17c | 65.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Rice | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis vs. Ricethis page
- Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5Over won
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis (-13.5)Memphis won
- Spread: Memphis (-14.5)Memphis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.