NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19dfb0607b595377ab846ed6b83f3cbabdda3904a7fae51b484fc4a25f7f98ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 50c | 158,402$78,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,533.87 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Capitals | 42c | 86,798$36,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,394.41 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Hurricanes | 59c | 59,980$35,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,388.2 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hurricanes | 59c | 40,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Capitals | 40c | 36,322$14,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,793.08 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Hurricanes | 58c | 35,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Capitals | 41c | 28,400$11,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,756.17 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Hurricanes | 37c | 23,506$8,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,714.78 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hurricanes | 59c | 21,836$12,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,962.59 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes | 60c | 21,469$12,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,881.65 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hurricanes | 21c | 15,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 14,172$8,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,283.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Hurricanes | 59c | 14,000$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Hurricanes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes | 60c | 8,995$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Hurricanes | 60c | 8,663$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hurricanes | 59c | 8,111$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.5 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Hurricanes | 60c | 7,988$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.8 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 57c | 7,906$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes | 29c | 7,864$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.1 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes | 59c | 7,596$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.64 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Capitals | 41c | 5,722$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.83 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 5,519$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.95 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Capitals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Hurricanes | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hurricanes | 58c | 4,137$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.46 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Capitals | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hurricanes | 38c | 3,800$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.29 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 41c | 3,684$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hurricanes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed Hurricanes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hurricanes | 58c | 3,253$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.86 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes | 38c | 3,082$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.32 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Capitals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Capitals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes | 59c | 2,633$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.27 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 2,429$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.95 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…44e6backed Hurricanes | 47c | 2,108$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hurricanes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hurricanes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Capitals | 61c | 1,502$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.18 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 33c | 1,251$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Hurricanes | 8c | 1,246$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…88dbbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…af12backed Hurricanes | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf62…2904backed Capitals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…5ea1backed Capitals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Hurricanes | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 1,185$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 61c | 1,135$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Capitals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Hurricanes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Hurricanes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Hurricanes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Hurricanes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Capitals | 71c | 992.12$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 39c | 948.5$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 49c | 895$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Hurricanes | 60c | 894.27$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hurricanes | 59c | 830$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.53 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 41c | 812$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.22 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hurricanes | 59c | 809.49$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Hurricanes | 59c | 738.14$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Capitals | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Hurricanes | 60c | 731.67$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hurricanes | 59c | 721$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.39 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Hurricanes | 26c | 699.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes | 60c | 669$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Hurricanes | 29c | 666.74$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hurricanes | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 70c | 636.4$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 630.27$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Capitals | 41c | 630.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hurricanes | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes | 59c | 572$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.48 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Capitals | 41c | 535.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.89 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Hurricanes | 60c | 535.41$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 38c | 526$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Hurricanes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…a88ebacked Hurricanes | 60c | 492.82$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Capitals | 41c | 492.82$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Capitals | 41c | 492.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Capitals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Hurricanes | 40c | 477.49$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Capitals | 41c | 476.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed Hurricanes | 60c | 476.26$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 41c | 457.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…ac6fbacked Capitals | 41c | 451.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Hurricanes | 60c | 450.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Hurricanes | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes | 59c | 428$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Hurricanesthis page
- Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.