CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789f1e72dcc83f3e5fe833a7b71bb0f6f812e140eed2a86b373efa795db6c050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Under | 69c | 5,032$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.64 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 30c | 2,590$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 2,126$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 31c | 1,616$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 32c | 1,345$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.38 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 27c | 1,247$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…b78ebacked Under | 62c | 481.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 53c | 422.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 36c | 405$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 40c | 257.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 55c | 246$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 62c | 241$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 61c | 227.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 190.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Over | 38c | 159.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 140.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 37c | 136.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 109.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 102.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 30c | 90.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 54c | 90.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 86.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 47c | 84.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 40c | 61.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 71c | 59.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…f02fbacked Over | 18c | 57.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Over | 49c | 55.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 39c | 51.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Over | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 47c | 48.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Over | 47c | 41.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Under | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…6b0dbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked Over | 51c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ApaiN won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.