Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c88fc4634ade0db57b369a7ad26542e92405e3edc8f4b89a507d24cf7b8d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MIR | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MIR | 8c | 581.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed MIR | 33c | 560$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked S2G Esports | 66c | 560$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed MIR | 33c | 550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed S2G Esports | 66c | 550$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MIR | 26c | 238.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked MIR | 14c | 171.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIR | 18c | 127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MIR | 24c | 47.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed S2G Esports | 77c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed S2G Esports | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group DS2G Esports won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.