Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cea7afd6fe353104774f60e5f4f6f6a8d209c5933c12bebc601e96cb57a8137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MIR | 38c | 2,188$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.82 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked S2G Esports | 60c | 2,104$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.67 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed S2G Esports | 51c | 1,450$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.87 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MIR | 41c | 810.57$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked S2G Esports | 68c | 503.3$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked MIR | 27c | 319.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports | 56c | 258.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIR | 42c | 226$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIR | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed S2G Esports | 64c | 198.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked MIR | 46c | 177.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIR | 35c | 144$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MIR | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MIR | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIR | 41c | 35.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group DS2G Esports won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.