Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f4f2bee12f26c64dc4c74dc5b669932ba62b12d306698cefa598a6bb62d1c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,771 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MIR | 26c | 628.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MIR | 10c | 539.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIR | 13c | 441.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed S2G Esports | 78c | 413.65$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed S2G Esports | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MIR | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked S2G Esports | 75c | 201.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIR | 11c | 162.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed MIR | 10c | 156.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed MIR | 14c | 153.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MIR | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…6a7abacked MIR | 26c | 149.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked MIR | 27c | 139$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed MIR | 14c | 131$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed MIR | 27c | 126.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked S2G Esports | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked S2G Esports | 73c | 117.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MIR | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MIR | 24c | 99.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIR | 27c | 44.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed S2G Esports | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…6570backed S2G Esports | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked S2G Esports | 72c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked S2G Esports | 76c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed S2G Esports | 76c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed S2G Esports | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed S2G Esports | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…5f14backed S2G Esports | 76c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed S2G Esports | 75c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…4b47backed S2G Esports | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dthis page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs MIR - Map 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.