CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204d2aa021b33a8ab83bf8d299714960c94510fa205d0aa0a2712e507f51ccd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof Omega, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,023 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 68c | 3,338$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.77 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Omega | 35c | 1,611$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.65 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega | 15c | 1,583$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 67c | 1,205$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed Omega | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed MASONIC | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Omega | 56c | 599.91$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.37 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed MASONIC | 44c | 560$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Omega | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Omega | 53c | 530.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.87 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed Omega | 55c | 480$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed MASONIC | 44c | 480$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed MASONIC | 44c | 470$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked Omega | 55c | 470$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked MASONIC | 54c | 457.45$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 27c | 315.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Omega | 42c | 271.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 6c | 259$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega | 58c | 233.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MASONIC | 47c | 196.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Omega | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Omega | 40c | 164.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MASONIC | 79c | 155.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Omega | 40c | 151.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Omega | 36c | 142$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MASONIC | 42c | 124.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MASONIC | 52c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed MASONIC | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MASONIC | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed MASONIC | 73c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MASONIC | 33c | 97.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MASONIC | 40c | 97.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omega | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Omega | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed Omega | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Omega | 31c | 57.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MASONIC | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Omega | 39c | 43.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed MASONIC | 55c | 43.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Omega | 40c | 42.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Omega | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Omega | 61c | 28.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed MASONIC | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsOmega won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.