CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1d98ee30b04e203c5ccc284647059605c78cfe01704e7c9db8e2e425f4e4a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Omega, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,983 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9859…1650backed MASONIC | 19c | 2,138$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed MASONIC | 8c | 1,342$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 76c | 1,128$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Omega | 60c | 590.58$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.86 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MASONIC | 42c | 462.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MASONIC | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Omega | 72c | 238.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega | 58c | 233.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Omega | 75c | 226.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 25c | 207.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked MASONIC | 38c | 196.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a37…214ebacked MASONIC | 26c | 165$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…d5bfbacked MASONIC | 26c | 154$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Omega | 67c | 144.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…ea93backed MASONIC | 24c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MASONIC | 33c | 139.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…a41ebacked MASONIC | 26c | 139$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50b…82f3backed MASONIC | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…2771backed MASONIC | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 79c | 113.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…1a22backed MASONIC | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…18cfbacked MASONIC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Omega | 62c | 99.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…d7b7backed MASONIC | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed MASONIC | 45c | 66.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MASONIC | 32c | 59.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MASONIC | 28c | 58.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Omega | 68c | 56.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed MASONIC | 26c | 50.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omega | 73c | 43.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked MASONIC | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Omega | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed MASONIC | 34c | 29.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Omega | 79c | 20.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsOmega won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.