CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc0aca745e3cd0880fb310f5bd9dea2faad27cdf2a69157a214ea37cf3dd01b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Liquid, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,937 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed Liquid | 7c | 2,271$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked OG | 68c | 811.42$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 63c | 793.88$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 75c | 608.51$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 38c | 566.03$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Liquid | 46c | 551.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed OG | 42c | 520$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Liquid | 57c | 520$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed Liquid | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed OG | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 22c | 468.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed OG | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Liquid | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Liquid | 17c | 412.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 55c | 404.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Liquid | 33c | 397.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid | 16c | 350.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 62c | 346.85$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Liquid | 18c | 288.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Liquid | 59c | 267.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liquid | 13c | 219.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed OG | 75c | 217.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…6fc9backed Liquid | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liquid | 18c | 182.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed OG | 44c | 175.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 40c | 174.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Liquid | 57c | 164.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed OG | 61c | 164.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed OG | 52c | 162.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed OG | 72c | 160.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Liquid | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…9197backed Liquid | 60c | 147.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Liquid | 48c | 145.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 41c | 138.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Liquid | 61c | 131.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Liquid | 32c | 131.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Liquid | 67c | 119.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked OG | 41c | 113.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Liquid | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…fb37backed Liquid | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Liquid | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Liquid | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked OG | 70c | 70.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Liquid | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OG | 44c | 66.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid | 21c | 62.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 24c | 57.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Liquid | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Liquid | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed OG | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Liquid | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…daf6backed Liquid | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Liquid | 58c | 43.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Liquid | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liquid | 27c | 39.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed OG | 42c | 37.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…b16abacked Liquid | 29c | 37.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…1344backed Liquid | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Liquid | 64c | 27.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Liquid | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed OG | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed OG | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsOG won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.