CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54868d83d9cbd84f9c3a6a94aa95f169af8fa6e1e457e176cba077d72b40a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 19c | 953.4$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked MANA eSports | 37c | 781$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 537.13$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…b7e5backed MANA eSports | 38c | 529.54$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 463.89$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 13c | 459.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed MANA eSports | 38c | 457.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 420.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 306.04$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed MANA eSports | 19c | 220.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Johnny Speeds | 66c | 210.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 19c | 151.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MANA eSports | 20c | 131.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed MANA eSports | 13c | 129.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MANA eSports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed MANA eSports | 16c | 94.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 86.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked MANA eSports | 39c | 68.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed MANA eSports | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed MANA eSports | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked MANA eSports | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed MANA eSports | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 32.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 25.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Johnny Speeds | 66c | 25.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Johnny Speeds | 77c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.