Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0dd6d65168603bcd162edccf865b54c113247e0633169691262030c67f9e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof REKONIX, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,448 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed PARIVISION | 76c | 3,033$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,900$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.16 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked REKONIX | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed REKONIX | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed REKONIX | 25c | 1,608$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.15 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,350$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.41 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed REKONIX | 22c | 1,184$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 1,066$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed REKONIX | 8c | 951.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 25c | 898.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked REKONIX | 18c | 852.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 6c | 834$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 79c | 786.66$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 21c | 740.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 710.01$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed REKONIX | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 520$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed REKONIX | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 478.5$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed PARIVISION | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked REKONIX | 26c | 410$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed REKONIX | 25c | 396.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 22c | 381.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed REKONIX | 23c | 378.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked REKONIX | 22c | 330.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 9c | 306.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed PARIVISION | 74c | 298.52$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 26c | 284.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 78c | 256.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked PARIVISION | 78c | 256.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 256.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 210.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed REKONIX | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked REKONIX | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 182$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed REKONIX | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 140.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION | 76c | 132.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed REKONIX | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 113.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 23c | 113.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed REKONIX | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed REKONIX | 23c | 104.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…7e6bbacked REKONIX | 17c | 103.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed REKONIX | 29c | 103.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 102.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed REKONIX | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed REKONIX | 25c | 81.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed PARIVISION | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked REKONIX | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b54bbacked REKONIX | 26c | 58.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed PARIVISION | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…5739backed PARIVISION | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…921abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group APARIVISION won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.