Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5221b0d82a005a90dcca5da378f586340f4eb5441575f5affb026d349dc8be21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof REKONIX, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,904 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 12c | 4,354$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked REKONIX | 21c | 3,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 2,908$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.61 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed REKONIX | 13c | 2,758$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.29 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,535$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed PARIVISION | 76c | 2,267$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.13 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,803$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed REKONIX | 17c | 1,786$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 21c | 1,062$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed REKONIX | 19c | 995.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 3c | 723.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed REKONIX | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX | 13c | 580.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed REKONIX | 17c | 520$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 14c | 509.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed PARIVISION | 79c | 420$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked REKONIX | 13c | 401.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed REKONIX | 13c | 386.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 14c | 322.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 22c | 318.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 25c | 300.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed REKONIX | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed REKONIX | 17c | 294.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked REKONIX | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed PARIVISION | 79c | 278.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed PARIVISION | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 16c | 225.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 15c | 223.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed REKONIX | 20c | 213.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 211.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 19c | 211.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed REKONIX | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…72afbacked REKONIX | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed REKONIX | 25c | 138.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION | 76c | 133.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed REKONIX | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed REKONIX | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 103.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed REKONIX | 25c | 93.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b54bbacked REKONIX | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed REKONIX | 17c | 85.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 18c | 72.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked REKONIX | 18c | 66.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed PARIVISION | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked REKONIX | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked REKONIX | 23c | 61.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed PARIVISION | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 35.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 29.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group APARIVISION won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.