Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c88a67d4f5ec755858a93a89de2e0d05cedd4424bafccc8b8f25356628ddfc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof REKONIX, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked REKONIX | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,306$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked REKONIX | 24c | 1,196$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 13c | 1,056$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 9c | 934.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed REKONIX | 10c | 915.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 75c | 632.92$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…7dbebacked REKONIX | 26c | 585$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION | 73c | 460$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REKONIX | 23c | 454$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked REKONIX | 10c | 410.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed REKONIX | 29c | 347.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…932fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 295$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +681.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed REKONIX | 24c | 294.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…c16ebacked REKONIX | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…9950backed PARIVISION | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 71c | 272.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed PARIVISION | 76c | 262.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked REKONIX | 23c | 255.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed REKONIX | 23c | 220.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 200.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…c021backed REKONIX | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed PARIVISION | 77c | 143.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed PARIVISION | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed REKONIX | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed REKONIX | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…e790backed REKONIX | 26c | 109.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked REKONIX | 24c | 99.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 99.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked REKONIX | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed PARIVISION | 74c | 80.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…baa4backed REKONIX | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed REKONIX | 25c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 74c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 75c | 50.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed REKONIX | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…7656backed REKONIX | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked REKONIX | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed PARIVISION | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed PARIVISION | 75c | 40.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…36a9backed REKONIX | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked REKONIX | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…806dbacked REKONIX | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…1538backed PARIVISION | 75c | 38.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…aecdbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 29.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed PARIVISION | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed PARIVISION | 77c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…b64fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.