CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb21732bbac88d08ec8d10b09b5cb44c9d4b6fb7b74d2bf576e01d648598db40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,554 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 27,894$16,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,474.22 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed TheMongolz | 44c | 8,111$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.29 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 7,327$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.89 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed TheMongolz | 45c | 6,526$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.86 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 50c | 5,000$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 3,992$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.71 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 3,337$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.42 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed TheMongolz | 76c | 3,329$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.62 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz | 42c | 3,052$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.39 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 71c | 2,483$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 2,340$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.47 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 2,201$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 2,080$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 2,057$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.45 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 57c | 2,035$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz | 57c | 1,621$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.01 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,534$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,447$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 1,408$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.22 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 67c | 1,375$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.67 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,300$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.06 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,195$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.94 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,182$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.82 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,065$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 993.72$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.11 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 864.79$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.67 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked TheMongolz | 69c | 800$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz | 44c | 779.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz | 51c | 756.75$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed TheMongolz | 78c | 701.41$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed TheMongolz | 56c | 674.49$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.19 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed TheMongolz | 44c | 654.55$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.55 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 36c | 538.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 530$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 530$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 516.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 510$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 510$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 471.09$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.09 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 428.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed TheMongolz | 54c | 427.15$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 385.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 380.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed TheMongolz | 47c | 375$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed TheMongolz | 57c | 306.16$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 296.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 270.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…67e2backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 255$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed TheMongolz | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 242.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 240.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 237.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed TheMongolz | 44c | 222.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 222.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…d0eabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 210.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 208.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 207.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed TheMongolz | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed TheMongolz | 30c | 196.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed TheMongolz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed TheMongolz | 54c | 185.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed TheMongolz | 31c | 183.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 182.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 181.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed TheMongolz | 47c | 180.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 171.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TheMongolz | 68c | 164.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 149.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed TheMongolz | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 138.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 138.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed TheMongolz | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed TheMongolz | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7f…37abbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 117.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 117.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 107.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed TheMongolz | 44c | 103.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TheMongolz | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz | 62c | 80.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.