CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac33407648797d5f688b545737739f4467e6978c2802a53160ce6f8836d4e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,654 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 6,404$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.91 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 46c | 5,516$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.24 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.63 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 41c | 4,742$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.42 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 56c | 4,033$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.91 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 2,884$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,618$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 48c | 2,073$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.96 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 43c | 1,125$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.82 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 50c | 1,039$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 824.1$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 25c | 795$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Under | 55c | 755.02$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Under | 62c | 691.4$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.73 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 301.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 53c | 234.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 46c | 192.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 50c | 153.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 46c | 131.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 28c | 107.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked Over | 19c | 61.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 31c | 55.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed Under | 61c | 49.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…7b48backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…18bfbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 50c | 32.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 44c | 29.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 313 | 39.6%124 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374f…ff34backed Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.