World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c307516831e46138c7be9c794bd15f0fe6cee6181006ae8110dc3ebe9baed6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 885.48$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.32 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 49c | 591.53$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 49c | 571.69$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 47c | 455.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 50c | 397.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 66c | 358$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 329.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 32c | 304.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 8c | 261.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 258.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 30c | 212$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 46c | 210.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 210.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 40c | 203.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 197.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 30c | 191.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…9ccbbacked No | 42c | 185.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 51c | 185.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 34c | 169.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 46c | 165.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 61c | 162.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 41c | 162.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 154.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 20c | 153$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 65c | 142.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 43c | 137.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 55c | 130.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 129.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 50c | 128.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…ae5dbacked Yes | 57c | 121.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…9502backed Yes | 77c | 116.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed No | 43c | 114.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…1d32backed Yes | 63c | 113.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 49c | 110.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 12c | 110.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 49c | 109.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 105.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 102.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 102.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…fe53backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 45c | 98.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…e996backed Yes | 62c | 96.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 96.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…7c21backed No | 54c | 92.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 48c | 91.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 41c | 90.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 52c | 88.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 16c | 88.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 61c | 82.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 44c | 74.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 45c | 71.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 57c | 70.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 45c | 69.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 50c | 65.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed No | 63c | 63.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked No | 33c | 59.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 43c | 58.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 54c | 58.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…f816backed No | 53c | 58.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…e5d7backed Yes | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 46c | 54.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 47c | 50.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…bc44backed Yes | 50c | 49.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 54c | 49.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 48c | 49.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 50c | 47.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 50c | 45.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed Yes | 50c | 45.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 45c | 43.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 56c | 42.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…4346backed Yes | 59c | 42.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…3335backed Yes | 49c | 39.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 53c | 38.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Yes | 59c | 38.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…ddeabacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 43c | 37.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 53c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.