Movies · resolved market
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48aea1ee8fbe12b8a33d9328e9ad2de9230091c161516416bc9fa3b43937d53e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 69c | 30,378$20,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,405.07 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed No | 31c | 23,330$7,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,214.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 21,753$15,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.9wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed No | 28c | 18,500$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed No | 34c | 17,862$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 72c | 8,858$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.78 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…f956backed Yes | 60c | 5,992$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.05 | 18 | 100%18 W · 0 L | +6.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b47…6338backed No | 10c | 5,173$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 22c | 2,959$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.34 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…8d8cbacked No | 18c | 2,665$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 60c | 2,583$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.9 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 2,155$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.89 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 60c | 2,069$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.48 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed No | 5c | 1,661$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…18d9backed No | 19c | 1,203$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…9727backed No | 59c | 1,182$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed No | 9c | 962$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 10c | 856$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 42c | 817.52$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…5759backed No | 11c | 723.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked No | 7c | 535.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 64c | 494.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Yes | 50c | 489.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 48c | 487.96$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 30c | 441.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 28c | 397.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 18c | 377$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…cd08backed No | 53c | 373.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 31c | 352.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed No | 35c | 339.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 329.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 18c | 320.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 319$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…a03abacked No | 17c | 294.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 10c | 288.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…6d96backed No | 7c | 267$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 261.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fedbacked Yes | 47c | 255.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…ae8bbacked No | 46c | 239.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 34c | 219.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed No | 12c | 214$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 211$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…9550backed No | 41c | 209.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2597…239bbacked No | 8c | 190.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…7902backed Yes | 47c | 190.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8070…8c6dbacked No | 53c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9c…a224backed No | 9c | 134.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d465backed No | 30c | 133.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc8…0d99backed Yes | 47c | 130.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…69babacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…1c05backed No | 12c | 85.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked No | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…afd3backed Yes | 59c | 79.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fd28backed No | 59c | 75.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…6f1bbacked Yes | 60c | 74.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…7ea6backed Yes | 79c | 74.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…ddddbacked No | 35c | 72.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…de5abacked Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 49c | 67.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…e64ebacked No | 30c | 60.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…b296backed Yes | 53c | 56.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 45c | 51.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…1ff3backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 70c | 49.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa642…7811backed Yes | 74c | 47.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 28c | 43.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…6397backed No | 35c | 42.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed No | 36c | 41.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd63…3c71backed No | 39c | 38.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 31c | 36.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 60c | 36.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…3647backed Yes | 57c | 34.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 40c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…cb14backed Yes | 46c | 28.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…b4dbbacked Yes | 73c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9435…e478backed Yes | 68c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 73c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…4b0bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…be43backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?this page
- Will Araminta Gun get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?No won
- Will Eloise Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?No won
- Will Posy Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?No won
- Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes won
- Will Sophie Baek get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.