Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ec4709753c00e5207c7e7e88947d757f0252139bd8121e8aebf9c2fd7215c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 72c | 1,345$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.81 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 77c | 1,129$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,105$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 24c | 908.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 6c | 858.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 33c | 635.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 27c | 529.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 14c | 487.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 456.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 36c | 437.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed Yes | 16c | 434.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 405$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 21c | 372.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 346.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 325.6$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 12c | 315.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 67c | 309.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 30c | 255.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 248.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 29c | 247.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 245.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 235.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 70c | 217.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 67c | 217$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 21c | 211.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked No | 63c | 211.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 74c | 210.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 205.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 9c | 203.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked No | 79c | 194.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 34c | 193.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 34c | 175.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes | 36c | 168.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…a71fbacked Yes | 35c | 165.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 19c | 157.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 157.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 67c | 156.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 62c | 154$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…eca5backed Yes | 42c | 144.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 20c | 142.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…ec99backed Yes | 8c | 140.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 137.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 21c | 133.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 131.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 33c | 120.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 67c | 119.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 118.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 72c | 118.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 115.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 114.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 112.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 41c | 111.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 36c | 110.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 108.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 22c | 108.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 34c | 106.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 15c | 105.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 11c | 95.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 94.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 18c | 94.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 16c | 94.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 35c | 94.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 34c | 94.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 91.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 30c | 86.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 83.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 83.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…10d1backed Yes | 29c | 83.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 82.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 66c | 81.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 77.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 37c | 71.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 70.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 29c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 34c | 66.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 63.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 17c | 62.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 22c | 59.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…ab15backed No | 68c | 59.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 68c | 59.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 42c | 58.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 69c | 57.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 21c | 57.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.