Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1f9514a3fd65dc7ce5de189a694a30d6517b7284f4f2b53a21a3c0e5c4cc72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 51c | 4,592$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 2,994$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,436$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.06 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 1,495$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.81 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 55c | 935.77$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 619.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked No | 50c | 600.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 61c | 533.37$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked No | 49c | 288.65$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 261.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 48c | 205.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 50c | 200.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 49c | 166.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 52c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 21c | 122.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 50c | 119.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 48c | 114.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 106.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 52c | 99.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked No | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 65.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Yes | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 47.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 50c | 45.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 48c | 41.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 34.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 52c | 27.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.