Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b99a07c870a5165fd6ac7094e0798975c253a9d51791c37e9ce29386a00a5f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 7,099$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 40c | 6,361$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 24c | 6,303$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 5,133$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.2 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 45c | 2,821$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.64 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 785.92$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 669.05$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 649.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.29 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 547.18$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 40c | 395$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 328.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 11c | 239.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…ec20backed Yes | 22c | 200.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 196.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c13backed Yes | 21c | 192.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 164.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 40c | 137.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 64c | 123$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 38c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 39c | 99.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 98.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 97.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 42c | 83.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 61c | 77.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 43c | 70.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 79c | 60.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 42c | 59.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 57c | 44.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 61c | 44.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 59c | 43.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 39.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 37.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed No | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 67c | 20.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…5e07backed No | 58c | 18.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked No | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 18.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 15.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 79c | 14.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.