Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x298ab3ec297c9a7afa3799b84ae666d9e31aa582c43755446eb3d7217656eab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Priorityof CITA Kaizen, Priority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed CITA Kaizen | 61c | 7,753$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.65 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Priority | 43c | 4,332$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +155%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Priority | 40c | 3,792$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…0d81backed Priority | 42c | 3,770$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Priority | 41c | 3,266$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.22 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CITA Kaizen | 56c | 3,154$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.47 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…a023backed Priority | 47c | 2,978$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed CITA Kaizen | 56c | 1,871$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 1,475$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.04 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed CITA Kaizen | 16c | 1,425$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked CITA Kaizen | 56c | 1,265$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.24 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked CITA Kaizen | 56c | 1,228$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…71eebacked Priority | 44c | 1,058$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed CITA Kaizen | 60c | 995$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 750.84$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed CITA Kaizen | 57c | 527.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Priority | 53c | 506.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed CITA Kaizen | 72c | 427.34$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed CITA Kaizen | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed CITA Kaizen | 60c | 405.6$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…d539backed CITA Kaizen | 58c | 369.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed CITA Kaizen | 57c | 359.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed CITA Kaizen | 54c | 358.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 284.71$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…c834backed CITA Kaizen | 59c | 276.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Priority | 44c | 250$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…19cebacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 245.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Priority | 33c | 221.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Priority | 42c | 214.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed CITA Kaizen | 59c | 201.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked CITA Kaizen | 57c | 187.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed CITA Kaizen | 56c | 183.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked CITA Kaizen | 36c | 165.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked CITA Kaizen | 63c | 123$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked CITA Kaizen | 59c | 108.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed CITA Kaizen | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Priority | 26c | 103.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed CITA Kaizen | 74c | 100.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked Priority | 60c | 77.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked CITA Kaizen | 50c | 75.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked CITA Kaizen | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed CITA Kaizen | 70c | 62.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed CITA Kaizen | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8a…c2e0backed CITA Kaizen | 57c | 44.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Priority | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 354 | 57.9%205 W · 149 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…6c5ebacked CITA Kaizen | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Priority | 43c | 40.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Priority | 43c | 34.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Priority | 36c | 33.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed CITA Kaizen | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0001…1fd9backed Priority | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked CITA Kaizen | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CKZ (-1.5) vs Priority (+1.5)CITA Kaizen won
- Game Handicap: CKZ (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)Priority won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 2 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 3 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 4 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.