Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e82e664aee395933ef6b54f8d7b97ce612e00dd1c8acda76027cf34bddb34b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CITA Kaizenof CITA Kaizen, Priority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Priority | 17c | 6,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Priority | 8c | 3,172$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.74 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…a99cbacked Priority | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Priority | 19c | 2,456$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.54 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed Priority | 6c | 1,662$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Priority | 9c | 1,286$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Priority | 17c | 1,250$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Priority | 25c | 1,177$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Priority | 15c | 637.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Priority | 13c | 589.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed CITA Kaizen | 68c | 526.08$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.54 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Priority | 34c | 500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed CITA Kaizen | 50c | 399.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Priority | 19c | 355.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed CITA Kaizen | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Priority | 21c | 293.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CITA Kaizen | 73c | 290.89$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed CITA Kaizen | 80c | 255.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CITA Kaizen | 67c | 243.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Priority | 40c | 217.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Priority | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Priority | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Priority | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked CITA Kaizen | 74c | 192.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 278 | 43.9%122 W · 156 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked CITA Kaizen | 79c | 183.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked Priority | 50c | 157.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Priority | 13c | 153.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…2433backed Priority | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…5f59backed Priority | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked CITA Kaizen | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d4…f161backed Priority | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Priority | 21c | 120.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Priority | 31c | 119.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Priority | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Priority | 15c | 79.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked CITA Kaizen | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Priority | 23c | 66.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Priority | 37c | 54.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed CITA Kaizen | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked CITA Kaizen | 79c | 41.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Priority | 37c | 40.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da0…6159backed CITA Kaizen | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CITA Kaizen | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked CITA Kaizen | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked CITA Kaizen | 72c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: CKZ (-1.5) vs Priority (+1.5)CITA Kaizen won
- Game Handicap: CKZ (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)Priority won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 1 WinnerPriority won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 2 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 3 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 4 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.