Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf9d5c4e844ad0e9922e56123fbff4da473b9dd321ab0c3ebe47794309617ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CITA Kaizenof CITA Kaizen, Priority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked CITA Kaizen | 64c | 485$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Priority | 30c | 472.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Priority | 34c | 425$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed CITA Kaizen | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Priority | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Priority | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Priority | 28c | 187.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked CITA Kaizen | 74c | 107.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked CITA Kaizen | 77c | 82.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed CITA Kaizen | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked CITA Kaizen | 74c | 59.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 354 | 57.9%205 W · 149 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked CITA Kaizen | 69c | 38.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CKZ (-1.5) vs Priority (+1.5)CITA Kaizen won
- Game Handicap: CKZ (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)Priority won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 1 WinnerPriority won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 3 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 4 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.