MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf85bba667fc37b86322e8c063d74a1da1c3e213815053ae208d9893c6458a4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Boston Red Sox, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 8,005$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.41 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 3,574$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.24 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 3,379$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 27c | 3,220$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.45 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 3,154$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.11 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,528$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,103$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.09 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,697$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.67 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 1,658$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.6 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,078$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 979.24$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.3 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 939$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 731.61$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 585$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.36 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 492.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 490.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.74 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 408$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 397.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 367.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 287.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 285.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 278.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 260.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 242.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 235.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 212.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 202.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 202.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 151$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 136.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 103.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 94.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 87.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Colorado Rockies | 65c | 84.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 81.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 77.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Colorado Rockies | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…1f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 61.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 60.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 58.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 55.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 54.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…9062backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 48.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 34.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 31.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 26.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 25.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Colorado Rockies | 65c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.