MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7077f3c10a622e5993a68ead8020db179185979df7b58b143f6e70cb9b791537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 250,425$124,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,782.75 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 63,795$31,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,878.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 51c | 48,870$24,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,946.34 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 38,544$19,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,271.89 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 25,149$12,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,326.44 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 18,301$9,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,108.93 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 12,535$6,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.23 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 44c | 7,981$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.94 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 6,605$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 51c | 5,400$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 48c | 5,135$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.7 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 4,449$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.5 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 63c | 4,275$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.67 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 3,844$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.48 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 3,320$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.98 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 2,889$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.73 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 2,792$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.61 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 63c | 2,024$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.06 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 50c | 2,023$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.04 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 1,413$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.88 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Over | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,077$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.67 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 57c | 864.08$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.66 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 830.08$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.11 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 51c | 822.81$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.5 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 57c | 809.56$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.72 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 797.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 56c | 683.34$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.67 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 524.18$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 479$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 435.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 50c | 420$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 60c | 366.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 350$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 313$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 49c | 253.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 64c | 251.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 57c | 216.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 213.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 209.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Under | 48c | 197.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Under | 40c | 171.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 56c | 144.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 50c | 125.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 122.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 121.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 116.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…3262backed Under | 52c | 115.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…363cbacked Under | 46c | 101.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 65c | 92.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 61c | 84.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 54c | 79.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 74.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 74c | 73.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…9062backed Over | 65c | 70.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 65c | 60.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…addcbacked Under | 50c | 48.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Under | 50c | 47.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 35c | 44.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 51c | 34.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 49c | 26.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over | 65c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.